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Economics
of Tile Plow Investment and Use
By: John Hanchar
In
an article of the February 2011 issue of AgFocus, James Kingston reviewed
the topic of tractor-drawn tile plows. The article utilized data from
presentations that he made at the NWNY Dairy, Livestock, and Field Crops
Program’s 2011 Corn Congresses in January. In the article, James
included a brief summary of some economic analyses that we developed to
examine tile plow investment and use. The purpose of this article is to
provide more detailed information from those economic analyses. For the
detailed analyses, including the MS Excel Spreadsheet developed to examine
tile investment and use, please visit the team’s website at www.nwnyteam.org
and click on “AgFocus”.
| $
per Foot Installed Excluding Materials |
Expected
Feet of Tile Installed Per Year over 5 Years |
10,000 |
20,000 |
30,000 |
40,000 |
0.60 |
-1,951 |
1,706 |
5,362 |
9,019 |
0.65 |
-1,451 |
2,706 |
6,862 |
11,019 |
0.70 |
-951 |
3,706 |
8,362 |
13,019 |
0.75 |
-451 |
4,706 |
9,862 |
15,019 |
0.80 |
49 |
5,706 |
11,362 |
17,019 |
| Table
1.
Expected change in annual profit by feet installed per year over five
years by custom charge per foot installed excluding materials. |
Summary
Partial budget analyses for profit indicated that 16 of the 20 expected
feet installed annually, expected tile contractor charge combinations
yielded expected increases to profit (Table 1).
Net present value analyses indicated that of 14 of the 20 expected feet
installed annually, expected tile contractor charge combinations yielded
net present values greater than 0. Net present values greater than or
equal to 0 reflect capital investments that would be considered attractive
to the producer (Table 2).
| $
per Foot Installed Excluding Materials |
Expected
Feet of Tile Installed Per Year Over 5 Years |
10,000 |
20,000 |
30,000 |
40,000 |
| 0.60 |
-17,169 |
-1,337 |
14,494 |
30,325 |
| 0.65 |
-15,004 |
2,992 |
20,988 |
38,984 |
| 0.70 |
-12,839 |
7,322 |
27,482 |
47,643 |
| 0.75 |
-10,674 |
11,651 |
33,977 |
56,302 |
| 0.80 |
-8,510 |
15,981 |
40,471 |
64,961 |
| Table
2. Expected net present value for a stream of
net cash flows over 5 years by expected feet of tile installed per
year over 5 years by expected contractor charge per foot installed
exluding materials. |
Overall, analyses suggest that if a producer can expect to install about
16,000 feet of tile or more annually over 5 years, then investment and
use of a tractor pulled tile plow is attractive given expected contractor
charges of about $0.65 per foot or greater.
Tractor
Drawn Tile Plows
Considering Costs to the Producer of Realizing Savings in Contractor
Charges
A review of information sources prior to developing the economic analyses
produced material that enthusiastically described the money that can be
made using owned machinery and labor versus hiring a contractor. One example
noted $4,000 made in one afternoon ($0.50 per foot excluding tile, the
contractor charge avoided, times 8,000 feet installed). Although the savings
are notable, the analysis seems to ignore that a farmer would expect to
incur additional ownership costs (depreciation, interest, insurance and
others) and operating costs (hired labor, machinery repairs and maintenance,
fuel, oil and lube expense, and others) associated with tile plow investment
and use. The purpose of our analysis was to evaluate the expected benefits
and costs associated with tile plow investment and use. An important assumption
for all of the analyses described below is that the decision to tile has
already been made – expected benefits exceeded expected costs. The
only decision remaining is whether to have tile installed by a contractor,
or install tile using owned equipment and labor supplied by the farm.
Partial
Budget Analysis
A partial budget projects the expected change in profit associated with
a proposed change in the farm business, for example, investment in and
use of a tile plow compared to hiring a contractor. The expected change
in profit equals the expected change in total value of production, income
minus the expected change in the costs of inputs used in production. With
regards to tiling, expected cost savings might be considerable. However,
what cost increases will the farmer incur to realize these savings? A
partial budget considers all expected changes to income and costs –
the decreases and the increases.
Net
Present Value Analysis
Net present value analysis considers the time value of a stream of net
cash flows, income over the life of the investment. The time value of
money concept results from the fact that individuals, when given the choice,
would prefer to receive a dollar today over a dollar received at some
future date, for example, a year from now. The net present value of an
investment is the sum of the present values for each year’s net
cash flow less the initial cost of the investment. If the net present
value of an investment is greater than or equal to zero, then the investment
is attractive to the decision maker. For this analysis, the initial cost
of the investment was $33,000 for the tile plow, stringer cart, and control
system.
The
analyses described here focused on expected changes in profit and net
present values of the investment. James' February article mentioned other
considerations that help to determine whether tile plow investment and
use makes sense for an individual operation.
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